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Offbeat Social Security Expected to Dip Into Its Reserves This Year

03:40  06 june  2018
03:40  06 june  2018 Source:   online.wsj.com

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The Social Security program’s cost will exceed its income this year for the first time since 1982, forcing the program to dip into its nearly trillion trust fund to cover benefits.

Spain has dipped into its pension reserves for the second time this month to help with soaring unemployment and retirement costs. Since last year , Spain’s social security deficit increased to one percent – up from just 0.1 percent. By the end of this year , that deficit is expected to increase by

a sign on the side of a building © mario anzuoni/Reuters

The Social Security program’s costs will exceed its income this year for the first time since 1982, forcing the program to dip into its nearly $3 trillion trust fund to cover benefits.

This is three years sooner than expected a year ago, partly due to lower economic growth projections, according to the latest annual report the trustees of Social Security and Medicare released Tuesday. The program’s income comes from tax revenue and interest from its trust fund.

The trust fund will be depleted in 2034 and Social Security will no longer be able to pay its full scheduled benefits unless Congress takes action to shore up the program’s finances. Without any changes, recipients then would receive only about three-quarters of their scheduled benefits from incoming tax revenues.

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As a result, Social Security will have no choice but to dip into its reserves to make its promised benefit payments. Here's what the CBO expects to happen over the next 30 years . Year .

Let's assume a 66- year -old married couple earning a bit more than 0,000 a year combined retires and begins taking Social Security . The markets could go into a deep funk, inflation could range at some point down the road and maybe they'll have to dip into their stash to pay expenses they don't

The report also said that Medicare’s hospital insurance fund would be depleted in 2026, three years earlier than anticipated in last year’s report. Absent changes, the program then would be able to handle 91% of costs.

The nation’s aging population is boosting the costs of Social Security and Medicare, while revenue gains lag due to slower growth in the economy and the labor force.

About 61.5 million people receive retirement or disability benefits from Social Security and 58.4 million receive Medicare.

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The Social Security program works by using payroll taxes paid by workers and employers to pay for retirees’ benefits. What is left over is invested in the trust fund. Interest earned is reinvested in the fund.

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The first is obvious: If you expect a big jump in tax rates starting next year , this is a chance to collect a dividend at a rock-bottom rate. A business is more likely to dip into its reserves periodically if it generates a fresh supply of cash 37 States That Don't Tax Social Security Benefits - Slide Show.

‘By dipping into its reserves , and raising taxes and municipal service fees, the city has found million, but must borrow another million.’ ‘But the budget Bush sent to Congress last month dips into the Social Security surplus to reduce - not eliminate - the deficit spending he proposes.’

Over time, the trust fund has grown to nearly $3 trillion. But long-running demographic trends threaten its finances. Last year, there were 2.8 workers for every Social Security recipient, down from 3.3 in 2007.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said in a statement the Trump administration’s efforts to cut taxes, reduce regulatory burdens and overhaul trade agreements would boost economic growth and generate new money for the country’s two largest entitlement programs.

Social Security consists of two programs, one for retirees and one for people who claim disability benefits.

The retirement program’s reserves are projected to be depleted in 2034, a year sooner than projected in last year’s report.

The disability fund is expected to run out in 2032, as opposed to 2028 as forecast in last year’s report. The program’s financial health has improved in recent years as the growth in disability applications has fallen, the report said.

Trustees warn Medicare finances are worsening

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These maturing securities are rolled over into newly issued bonds, with June 30th maturity dates distributed over the next 15 years .55. 44 The 1990 legislation that eliminated intramonth borrowing allows the secretary of the Treasury to reintroduce it whenever reserves might dip to inadequate

To earn income on its reserves , Social Security invests its money, and U.S. government debt (specifically, special Starting in 2020, Social Security 's tax revenue and investment income are not expected to be sufficient to cover benefits, so it will be necessary to dip into the reserves .

The tax cuts signed into law last year have slightly lowered Medicare and Social Security’s projected revenue over the next few years. Lower income-tax rates reduced projected revenue from the taxation of Social Security benefits. That means less money flowing into both programs because those revenues are transferred to the trust funds.

President Donald Trump’s decision to end a program offering young undocumented immigrants reprieve from deportation while allowing them to work also reduced anticipated tax revenue into the Social Security program, the report said.

Congress has debated ways of bolstering the programs’ finances, but hasn’t agreed on what to do.

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Here's how Social Security generated $1 trillion in income last year .
One key funding source ensures that Social Security can never go bankrupt. That's a pretty comforting feeling if you're a current retiree or a working-age American looking to retire in the years or decades ahead.The three ways Social Security generates revenue Last year alone, the Board of Trustees report shows, the program essentially generated $1 trillion in income -- $996.6 billion, to be precise. How did Social Security come up with so much cash for beneficiaries? Let's take a closer look. 1.

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