Opinion On Iran deal, Trump courts another fiasco like repealing Obamacare

05:25  12 october  2017
05:25  12 october  2017 Source:   CNN

Iran president: 10 Trumps can't roll back nuke deal benefits

  Iran president: 10 Trumps can't roll back nuke deal benefits Iran's president defended the 2015 nuclear deal with world powers on Saturday, saying not even 10 Donald Trumps can roll back its benefits to his country, state TV reported. Hassan Rouhani's comments came as President Donald Trump appears to be stepping back from his campaign pledge to tear up the deal, instead aiming to take other measures against Iran and its affiliates.State TV broadcast Rouhani while addressing students at Tehran University, marking the beginning of the educational year."We have achieved benefits that are irreversible. Nobody can roll them back, neither Trump, nor 10 other Trumps," he said.

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The article you requested was not found. Trump says decision made on Iran deal , won't say what it is.

US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a rally organized by the Tea Party Patriots against the Iran nuclear deal in front of the Capitol in Washington, DC, on September 9, 2015. AFP PHOTO/NICHOLAS KAMM (Photo credit should read NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images) © NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/AFP/Getty Images US Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump speaks at a rally organized by the Tea Party Patriots against the Iran nuclear deal in front of the Capitol in Washington, DC, on September 9, 2015. AFP PHOTO/NICHOLAS KAMM (Photo credit should read NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images)

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On the campaign trail, Donald Trump was clear about his view of the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, which delays the Islamic state from acquiring nuclear weapons for more than a decade in exchange for the lifting of draconian US-led sanctions on Iran.

Germany worries Trump will quit Iran nuclear deal

  Germany worries Trump will quit Iran nuclear deal German Foreign Minister Sigmar Gabriel said Sunday that he feared US President Donald Trump would quit the Iran nuclear deal next week. Trump is a stern critic of the 2015 accord, which he has called "the worst deal ever", and US officials say he intends to tell US Congress next week that Tehran is not honouring its side of the bargain."The United States is likely to quit the Iran agreement next week -- that is my great concern," Gabriel was quoted as saying by national news agency DPA.

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Trump told CNN in the summer of 2015, "[The Iranians] are laughing at the stupidity of the deal we're making on nuclear. We should double up and triple up the sanctions and have them come to us. They are making an amazing deal."

As president, Trump has carried on the drumbeat of criticism of the deal and hinted that he is about to take a major step on it. Trump can try to rip up the deal by "decertifying" that Iran is compliant within the terms of the agreement and have the Republican-controlled Congress act on it, for instance, by imposing new sanctions on Iran.

Trump reportedly plans to decertify the agreement by October 15, which is one of the regular deadlines for the continued certification of the nuclear deal.

But this move may be the foreign policy equivalent of trying to repeal and replace Obamacare, another key campaign Trump promise that ultimately he has not been able to deliver. In February of 2016, Trump tweeted, "We will immediately repeal and replace ObamaCare - and nobody can do that like me. We will save $'s and have much better healthcare!"

Trump to announce broad Iran strategy later this week -White House

  Trump to announce broad Iran strategy later this week -White House <p>President Donald Trump will make an announcement later this week on an "overall Iran strategy," including whether to decertify the international deal curbing Tehran's nuclear program, the White House said on Tuesday.</p>"He'll make that later this week," White House spokeswoman Sarah Sanders told reporters when asked about the certification decision and the administration's broader strategy on Iran. "The president has reached a decision on an overall Iran strategy and wants to make sure that we have a broad policy to deal with ... all of the problems of Iran being a bad actor.

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Just before the election, Trump promised the repeal would come "very, very quickly."

Trump has since encountered the reality that Obamacare is now supported by a slim majority of Americans, according to a poll released in June, while the various Republican alternatives to the Affordable Care Act that emerged during recent months are generally unpopular.

Similarly, with the Iran nuclear deal -- which Trump has called "terrible" and "the worst deal ever negotiated" -- the facts aren't going along with the President's promises. Secretary of Defense James Mattis testified just this past week that it is in America's national security interest to remain in the agreement.

The International Atomic Energy Agency has also repeatedly found that Iran is complying with the nuclear deal.

So if it's hard to make the case that the deal isn't working, why else would you tear up this agreement?

Trump to cut off key ObamaCare payments: report

  Trump to cut off key ObamaCare payments: report President Trump plans to cut off key payments to insurers selling ObamaCare coverage, Politico reported Thursday, citing two sources familiar with the matter.Such an action would represent Trump's most aggressive move yet to dismantle ObamaCare, after GOP efforts to repeal and replace the health-care law failed this year.Trump has repeatedly threatened to cut off the disbursements to insurers, known as Cost Sharing Reduction (CSR) payments. They are worth an estimated $7 billion this year, Politico noted.

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This is reminiscent of the fix that Trump and many of his fellow Republicans got themselves into when they kept saying that Obamacare was disastrous, but had no better plan to proffer.

Of course, Iran operates in other ways outside of the nuclear deal that are inimical to American interests, and indeed the interests of other countries, for instance, by propping up the Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria and supplying weapons to the Houthi rebels in Yemen. But the nuclear deal wasn't meant to fix Iran's regional meddling, irritating as that may be. Its goal, rather, was to ensure that Iran doesn't acquire nuclear weapons, which would then set off a regional nuclear arms race in the Middle East where Saudi Arabia would quickly follow suit.

Also, wouldn't an Iran armed with nuclear weapons behave worse than a non-nuclear-armed Iran? Just take a look at the behavior of North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un, whose antics on the world stage only get attention because he has nukes. Without nukes, Kim would simply be irrelevant. (North Korean GDP is $16 billion, which is considerably less than that of Vermont, which at $30 billion GDP is ranked last out of the 50 American states in terms of economic output.)

A worried Iran waits to see Trump's next move

  A worried Iran waits to see Trump's next move <p>Everyone in Iran's capital, from government officials to business people, was waiting anxiously on Friday to hear what action President Trump would announce against the Islamic Republic, reports CBS News correspondent Elizabeth Palmer.</p>TEHRAN -- Everyone in Iran's capital, from government officials to business people, was waiting anxiously on Friday to hear what action President Trump would announce against the Islamic Republic, reports CBS News correspondent Elizabeth Palmer.

Trump 's approach to Iran looks a bit like Bush's approach to Iraq. Reuters/Carlos Barria. After failing to repeal Obamacare , Trump will likely target another cornerstone of Obama 's legacy — the Iran deal .

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New sanctions?

Sure, the United States could try to unilaterally impose new sanctions on Iran. These wouldn't be nearly as effective as the previous US-led sanctions that involved many other countries and forced Iran to the negotiating table to ink the nuclear deal. This time around, the US would not have the support of other major Western powers to sanction Iran.

And to what end would the new sanctions be aimed, since critics of the deal haven't explained what would replace the current agreement? Then there is the inconvenient fact that Iran will not renegotiate the nuclear agreement. Similarly, Britain, France, Germany and Russia, which also negotiated the deal alongside the United States, have made clear that they want the deal to remain in place.

Finally, in Congress there may not be the 51 votes needed to overturn the agreement by imposing new sanctions on Iran. Republican Sens. Jeff Flake and John McCain of Arizona, and Susan Collins of Maine, for instance, all might vote against sanctions that would effectively end the agreement.

Meanwhile, Sen. Bob Corker, the powerful head of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, is in a well-publicized spat with Trump, who has taken to Twitter to denigrate him. Corker has little incentive to help Trump out on the Iran deal.

This could end up looking a lot like the failed effort to repeal Obamacare.

Iran's supreme leader accuses Trump of ranting and lying .
The country's supreme leader attacks the U.S. president for threatening to abandon the nuclear deal."I don't want to waste time on answering the rants and whoppers of the brute U.S. president," Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said.

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