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Politics There's A Potential Crack In Trump's Base: Supporters Who Once Voted For Obama

18:26  06 september  2017
18:26  06 september  2017 Source:   huffingtonpost.com

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“ There ’ s nothing he can say or do that will impress me or cause me to vote for him again, no, absolutely not. According to the Voter Study Group, they represent about 9 percent or 10 percent of Obama ’ s supporters . “Among the people who supported Trump , they’re showing some of the

  There's A Potential Crack In Trump's Base: Supporters Who Once Voted For Obama © Ji-Sub Jeong Huffington Post

WASHINGTON ― Very few Americans outright regret their votes in last year’s election. But such regrets, new data reveals, are highest among voters who may now make up the most tenuous part of the base that swept Donald Trump into office: those who supported Barack Obama in 2012.

“I’m off that boat,” said Hildegarde Evans, a registered Democrat from Sacramento, California, who supported Obama in 2012. She says she voted for Trump because she hoped his business experience would give him a different perspective, but is now adamant that she’d never support him for re-election. “There’s nothing he can say or do that will impress me or cause me to vote for him again, no, absolutely not. That’s out.”

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At least some of his supporters are waking up to smell the coffee or should I say covfefe.

If you once voted for Obama , then decided Trump was a good bet, you were already cracked . How any decent person who voted for Pres. Obama could've ever thought trump was a good choice, is well beyond my ability to comprehend.

After seeing Trump’s record on health care and immigration, his handling of foreign affairs, and his continued combativeness on Twitter, she says she wishes she’d cast a write-in ballot last year.

  There's A Potential Crack In Trump's Base: Supporters Who Once Voted For Obama © Voter Study Group

Evans is among the 16 percent of Obama/Trump voters who now say they regret their votes, according to a newly released set of polling. Six percent of all 2016 voters say they regret the decision they made last year, and 3 percent those who voted for Mitt Romney in 2012 and Hillary Clinton in 2016 say the same.

Fewer than 4 in 10 of Obama/Trump voters say they’re sure they’ll vote GOP in the 2018 midterms.

The data comes from an online YouGov poll conducted in July by the Democracy Fund Voter Study Group, which describes itself as a collaboration by “nearly two dozen analysts and scholars from across the political spectrum.” The survey reinterviewed 5,000 Americans who’d previously been polled in 2011, 2012 and 2016, allowing the researchers to track the shifts in their political opinions.

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There ' s A Potential Crack In Trump ' s Base : Supporters Who Once Voted For Obama . "This is about whether we are a people who kick hopeful young strivers out of America, or whether we treat them the way we’d want our own kids to be trea

Based on an examination of new data, strategists believe Hillary’ s loss was mostly the result of voters who had voted for Obama in the past but jumped party to vote for Trump . From McClatchy

Democrats are now faced with several questions: how many Obama/Trump voters are persuadable, and to what degree pursuing the sliver who are should take precedence over drumming up midterm turnout among the Democratic base or wooing those who voted third-party or sat out 2016.

I think there are some people who argue this is a segment of the population the Democrats can’t win back, but this is already a population that’s already shown itself to have some flip-flopping tendencies ― to vote for one party and then to vote for another.Robert Griffin, director of quantitative analysis at the Center for American Progress

Between 6.7 million and 9.2 million Americans may have backed Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016, according to an analysis Geoffrey Skelley of Sabato’s Crystal Ball conducted earlier this year. He concluded such voters “played a crucial role” in Rust Belt states such as Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. According to the Voter Study Group, they represent about 9 percent or 10 percent of Obama’s supporters.

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Obama - Trump Voters . The one group of Trump supporters Democrats might be able to win over are those who switched parties in 2016. The problem is, there ’ s no evidence that individuals who voted for Obama voted for Trump .

Paul Ryan' s wife Janna is a secret liberal who voted for Obama twice. Because ballots are secret, there is no way to know who Mrs. Ryan voted for , but it defies reason that she The source of the claim seems to be renewed anger at her husband from Trump supporters as the election draws near.

“Among the people who supported Trump, they’re showing some of the highest levels of dissatisfaction,” said Robert Griffin, the director of quantitative analysis at the progressive Center for American Progress and one of the participants in the Voter Study Group. “I think there are some people who argue this is a segment of the population the Democrats can’t win back, but this is already a population that’s already shown itself to have some flip-flopping tendencies ― to vote for one party and then to vote for another. So, I think the evidence would suggest that this is a group that’s in play. They’re by no means lost to the Democratic Party.”

The behavior of these voters stands out in a political environment often characterized by inflexible hyper-partisanship, as they are less tethered to a partisan identity than most of the electorate.

Although they are considerably right-leaning and by no means largely wayward Democrats, Obama/Trump voters do appear in some ways significantly different from the rest of Trump’s electorate, according to additional YouGov polling conducted for the Economist in June and shared with HuffPost.

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Obama - Trump voters are more likely than any other group to regret their votes , a new survey finds. But such regrets, new data reveals, are highest among voters who may now make up the most tenuous part of the base that swept Donald Trump into office: those who supported Barack Obama

So I think there are at least three pools of potential Trump supporters who accept proposition 1 (the two above, plus the “punch the teacher in the nose” group you mention). That’ s why Berrnie and Trump are a surprise. I fully agree with Obama who fired his AG – the idea that banks can’t be sued

They’re less likely, for instance, to closely follow politics, to consider themselves conservatives, or to feel a strong kinship with the Republican Party. They’re less likely than other Trump voters to consider immigration a very important issue. And although they aren’t significantly likelier to express personal worries or to name the economy as a top issue, they are more bearish about its prospects. Just 46 percent of Obama/Trump voters, compared to 61 percent of other Trump voters, say the economy is getting better. And 36 percent, compared to 58 percent of other Trump voters, think Trump cares a lot about people like them.

  There's A Potential Crack In Trump's Base: Supporters Who Once Voted For Obama © HuffPost

Most Trump voters, no matter whom they supported in previous years, aren’t rueing their decision. About 70 percent of Obama/Trump voters said in July that they approved of the current president’s performance, according to the Voter Study Group.

“Donald Trump, in my opinion, he put down his feet and started running right away, as soon as he was inaugurated, to move his agenda forward. I like that,” another Obama/Trump voter, Cornell Rankin, told HuffPost earlier this summer.

Rankin, a resident of Wilmington, Delaware, who originally hails from Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, said he hoped that Trump would restore manufacturing jobs.

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  Hillary Clinton still doesn’t get ‘what happened’ in the 2016 election Working-class voters had legitimate grievances that Democrats ignored. That sent a message to working-class voters that Democrats are not focused on fighting for them. So they defected. Add to this Clinton’s inability to connect with her party’s liberal base (the so-called drop-off voters who turned out for Obama but failed to show up for her) — plus the Clinton Foundation and her repeated lies about her personal server, which led large majorities of Americans to conclude that she was dishonest and corrupt — and you had the toxic brew that produced her electoral defeat.

Nearly 700,000 dreamers were enrolled in the DACA program, started by Obama in 2012, when Trump terminated it in September. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) said that despite the president' s past campaign rhetoric, "he' s listened to border security" experts and now believes " there ' s a need for walls and

It appears many Trump supporters were not necessarily simply out of loyalty to Trump , but also due to a strong distaste for Hillary Clinton. “What I am saying is the same thing, and pretty much everyone else who voted you in.” [emphasis added].

“I grew up with the steel mills and other manufacturing that was [flourishing] during my childhood, and by the time I got old enough to get into the workforce, those things were dwindling and eventually closed down,” he said. “And now the manufacturing in western Pennsylvania is almost nothing. And I would like to see the return of some manufacturing because as a nation we used to be very strong at providing everything that we need.”

And unlike even many Republicans, Rankin called Trump’s pugnaciousness “refreshing,” saying he liked having someone in office to confront the status quo.

Most Obama/Trump voters, however, aren’t wholly upbeat, especially in comparison with straight-ticket Republican voters. Just 35 percent in the Voter Study Group’s poll strongly approve of Trump’s performance, significantly below the level of Trump voters as a whole. (A 63 percent majority of Obama voters who backed third-party candidates, meanwhile, disapprove of Trump entirely.)

  There's A Potential Crack In Trump's Base: Supporters Who Once Voted For Obama © Voter Study Group

“I still have hope for him. I have not given up,” said Ella Johnson, a 62-year-old from Rochester, Minnesota, who backed Trump in 2016 after voting for Obama in 2012. Johnson, who picked Trump because she thought he’d do a better job of working with Congress, praised him for fighting for what he wanted, even if it meant taking on other politicians or the press.

But Johnson also expressed concerns about Trump’s record on health care, noted that the president hasn’t yet accomplished much, and said he often seemed to let his ego get the best of him. And although she hasn’t given a great deal of thought yet to the midterm elections, she’s more than open to the idea of supporting a Democrat.

That openness is not entirely uncommon among Obama voters who didn’t support Clinton, according to the study. Thirty-six percent of Obama voters who voted for a third-party candidate last year say they plan to vote Democratic in the midterms, and 23 percent that they haven’t made up their minds. Obama/Trump voters, while less Democratic-leaning, aren’t solidly Republican either: 39 percent of Obama/Trump voters say they plan to back a Republican candidate in 2018, according to the study, with 17 percent saying they’ll vote Democratic and another 41 percent still unsure.

  There's A Potential Crack In Trump's Base: Supporters Who Once Voted For Obama © Voter Study Group

Given their loose tethers to partisanship, even those who remain happy with Trump may not necessarily be a reliable vote for the GOP.

“Sometimes it’s not a bad thing to have a little opposition in the government,” Rankin said.

This article originally appeared on HuffPost.

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